Will a general Russia-Ukraine ceasefire take effect by June 30, 2027?
We now put the chance of a general Russia-Ukraine ceasefire taking effect by June 30, 2027 at 15 percent, down from 17, as of the October 12 cutoff. Time is running off the clock, Trump's October 11 energy ceasefire is a partial deal Moscow has not confirmed, and Ukraine reports Russian strikes on its grid continued.
Will a general Russia-Ukraine ceasefire take effect by June 30, 2027?
15%
Very unlikely
Closes Jun 30, 2027Down 2 pts