Research

Original data from real campaigns. Published with methodology, free to cite with attribution.

Verified October 5, 2026, rechecked weekly

Political AI Law Tracker

Every state's law on AI and deepfakes in political ads, AI voice robocalls and deceptive AI about voting: exact disclaimer wording, election windows, penalties and who can sue, verified against the statutes and rechecked weekly. Interactive map, 51 state guides and an open CSV/JSON dataset.

September 26, 2026

Underdog: how the trailing candidate can still win

Precinct-level paths to victory for every Minnesota U.S. Senate and U.S. House underdog in 2026: the net votes needed, the places that decide it, a crossover regression on every precinct, and win odds from 20,000 seeded simulations. Data downloadable for JASP.

Updated weekly from September 10, 2026

PAC Spend Tracker 2026

Which super PACs, leadership PACs and party committees are spending the most on independent expenditures each week, by party, state and target race, from FEC filings. Updated weekly, with a profile for every committee.

September 7, 2026

2026 Voter Contact Benchmarks

40,916 live voter conversations, 9,976 voter IDs, support and persuasion shares, callback rates, and best calling hours from six 2026 primary phone programs.

April 17, 2026

Montana U.S. Senate independent voter poll, April 2026

Live phone poll of Montana independent voters with full methodology and a downloadable report.