Every Louisiana race. From the other side.
The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.
Louisiana's 2026 congressional elections use the map enacted as Act 2 of the 2026 Regular Session (SB 121), signed May 29, 2026, after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the prior map in Louisiana v. Callais. Because the lines changed, the precinct math uses statewide contests re-aggregated onto the new districts; early and mail votes, reported by parish, are estimated for each precinct.
The U.S. Senate race is between the closed-primary nominees and is decided on November 3. The U.S. House races are a one-time open primary on November 3, with a December 12 runoff if no one wins a majority. Only the 2nd District has one Democrat and one Republican on the ballot; the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th have several candidates from the same party, which two-party precinct math cannot model, so they are not given plans here.
2 plans. One question each.
Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Louisiana Secretary of State precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Louisiana 2026 election guide.