Wyoming · 2 federal races · 37 days left
Every Wyoming race. From the other side.
The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.
Wyoming elects one U.S. representative statewide, the at-large seat. Both 2026 races are open seats: Senator Cynthia Lummis is retiring, and Representative Harriet Hageman is running for her Senate seat.
See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.
2
underdog plans, built from precinct returns
95,951
net votes: the closest upset in Wyoming (WY-AL)
37
days until November 3. Absentee voting opens October 6.
Pick a race
2 plans. One question each.
Wyoming U.S. Senate · open seat
What it would take for James Byrd
102,839 net votes to find, most of them in Laramie County and Teton County.
See the path ›
WY-AL · open seat
What it would take for Lisa Kinney
95,951 net votes to find, most of them in Laramie County and Teton County.
See the path ›
Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Wyoming Secretary of State precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Wyoming 2026 election guide.