New Mexico · 4 federal races · election held November 3
Every New Mexico race. From the other side.
The election is over. 4 of 4 races are called so far, and no underdog won. Each plan below stays up as the record, with the result beside it.
The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.
New Mexico's congressional districts are the 2021 map, which the New Mexico Supreme Court upheld in November 2023.
See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.
4
underdog plans, built from precinct returns
5,635
net votes: the closest upset in New Mexico (NM-02)
0
underdog wins out of 4 races called so far
Pick a race
4 plans. One question each.
New Mexico U.S. Senate · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Larry Marker
117,811 net votes to find, most of them in Bernalillo County and Santa Fe County.
Result: Ben Ray Luján won.
See the path and the result ›
NM-01 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Didi Okpareke
33,248 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 13 (Torrance County) and Precinct 1 (Guadalupe County).
Result: Melanie Stansbury won.
See the path and the result ›
NM-02 · vs. incumbent
How Greg Cunningham wins
5,635 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 15 (Socorro County) and Precinct 52 (Eddy County).
Result: Gabe Vasquez won.
See the path and the result ›
NM-03 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Martin Zamora
30,033 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 37 (Lea County) and Precinct 18 (Curry County).
Result: Teresa Leger Fernández won.
See the path and the result ›
Independent analysis by The Political Group from official New Mexico Secretary of State precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the New Mexico 2026 election guide.