Maryland · 8 federal races · election held November 3

Every Maryland race. From the other side.

The election is over. 8 of 8 races are called so far, and no underdog won. Each plan below stays up as the record, with the result beside it.

The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.

Maryland's congressional districts are the 2022 map (SB 1012). A 2026 attempt to redraw them passed the House of Delegates but never came to a vote in the Senate, so the lines are unchanged. There is no U.S. Senate race in Maryland in 2026.

See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.

underdog plans, built from precinct returns

16,394

net votes: the closest upset in Maryland (MD-06)

underdog wins out of 8 races called so far

Pick a race

8 plans. One question each.

MD-01 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Dan Schwartz

41,142 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 003-007 (Harford County) and Precinct 003-006 (Harford County).

Result: Andy Harris won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-02 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Dave Wallace

53,509 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 008-001 (Carroll County) and Precinct 005-003 (Carroll County).

Result: Johnny Olszewski won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-03 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Berney Flowers

66,517 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 013-001 (Carroll County) and Precinct 005-010 (Howard County).

Result: Sarah Elfreth won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-04 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for George McDermott

127,943 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 010-005 (Prince George's County) and Precinct 005-023 (Montgomery County).

Result: Glenn Ivey won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-05 · open seat

What it would take for Chris Chaffee

92,875 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 005-001 (St. Mary's County) and Precinct 004-001 (St. Mary's County).

Result: Adrian Boafo won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-06 · vs. incumbent

How Robin Ficker wins

16,394 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 013-001 (Washington County) and Precinct 018-002 (Frederick County).

Result: April McClain Delaney won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-07 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Scott Collier

119,857 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 015-021 (Baltimore County) and Precinct 012-004 (Baltimore County).

Result: Kweisi Mfume won.

See the path and the result ›

MD-08 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Cheryl Riley

158,797 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 013-038 (Montgomery County) and Precinct 004-020 (Montgomery County).

Result: Jamie Raskin won.

See the path and the result ›

Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Maryland State Board of Elections precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Maryland 2026 election guide.