Washington · 10 federal races · 36 days left

Every Washington race. From the other side.

The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.

Washington's congressional districts are the 2021 Redistricting Commission map, unchanged for 2026. Washington has no U.S. Senate race in 2026.

Washington uses a top-two primary. Every November House race this year is one Democrat against one Republican. In the 2024 results, two districts had same-party finals (Republicans in the 4th, Democrats in the 9th), so those House contests are left out of the math for those districts and statewide contests carry the weight.

Washington votes entirely by mail. King County precinct names are shown with their city (for example, Seattle Precinct 36-1704).

See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.
10
underdog plans, built from precinct returns
17,190
net votes: the closest upset in Washington (WA-03)
36
days until November 3. Mail voting opens October 16.
Pick a race

10 plans. One question each.

WA-01 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Mary Silva
77,716 net votes to find, most of them in Sisco (Snohomish County) and Snocade (Snohomish County).
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WA-02 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Edwin H. Feller
79,485 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 604 (Whatcom County) and Precinct 609 (Whatcom County).
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WA-03 · open seat
How Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wins
17,190 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 953 (Clark County) and Precinct 450 (Clark County).
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WA-04 · open seat
What it would take for John Duresky
70,467 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2103 (Yakima County) and Mazama (Okanogan County).
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WA-05 · vs. incumbent
How Carmela Conroy wins
19,015 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 3204 (Spokane County) and Precinct 3230 (Spokane County).
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WA-06 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Teresa Fox
56,968 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 26-345 (Pierce County) and CP1 00000263 (Kitsap County).
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WA-07 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Nirav Sheth
251,737 net votes to find, most of them in Seattle Precinct 43-1992 (King County) and Seattle Precinct 46-2266 (King County).
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WA-08 · vs. incumbent
How Spencer Meline wins
21,516 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 31-857 (Pierce County) and Precinct 31-135 (Pierce County).
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WA-09 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Doug Basler
103,848 net votes to find, most of them in Bellevue Precinct 41-3583 (King County) and Bellevue Precinct 41-2556 (King County).
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WA-10 · vs. incumbent
What it would take for Chris D. Chung
43,308 net votes to find, most of them in Beaver Creek (Thurston County) and Precinct 25-219 (Pierce County).
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Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Washington Secretary of State precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Washington 2026 election guide.