Michigan · 14 federal races · election held November 3

Every Michigan race. From the other side.

The election is over. 14 of 14 races are called so far, and 3 underdogs won. Each plan below stays up as the record, with the result beside it.

The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.

Michigan's congressional districts are the 2021 Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission map, unchanged for 2026. The U.S. Senate seat is open: Gary Peters is not running for re-election.

Michigan's results here come from the Bureau of Elections precinct files, reconciled to the certified county canvass. The plans are built city by city and township by township; small county canvass adjustments are spread over each county's communities so totals match the certified results. Detroit's absentee counting boards are counted within Detroit.

See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.

underdog plans, built from precinct returns

4,254

net votes: the closest upset in Michigan (MI-10)

underdog wins out of 14 races called so far

Pick a race

14 plans. One question each.

Michigan U.S. Senate · open seat

How Mike Rogers wins

116,706 net votes to find, most of them in Macomb County and Wayne County.

Result: Abdul El-Sayed won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-01 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Callie Barr

75,130 net votes to find, most of them in Marquette and Traverse City (Grand Traverse County).

Result: Jack Bergman won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-02 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Ben Ambrose

100,270 net votes to find, most of them in Mount Pleasant and Caledonia Township (Kent County).

Result: John Moolenaar won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-03 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Terri DeBoer

36,411 net votes to find, most of them in Grand Rapids and Byron Township (Kent County).

Result: Hillary Scholten won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-04 · vs. incumbent

How Sean McCann wins

6,921 net votes to find, most of them in Portage and Kalamazoo.

Result: Sean McCann won.

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MI-05 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Christian Vukasovich

87,818 net votes to find, most of them in Bedford Township (Monroe County) and Jackson.

Result: Tim Walberg won.

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MI-06 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Heather Smiley

108,687 net votes to find, most of them in Canton Township (Wayne County) and Brownstown Township (Wayne County).

Result: Debbie Dingell won.

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MI-07 · vs. incumbent

How William Lawrence wins

7,577 net votes to find, most of them in Lansing (Ingham County) and East Lansing (Ingham County).

Result: William Lawrence won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-08 · vs. incumbent

How Thomas J. Smith wins

21,130 net votes to find, most of them in Saginaw Township (Saginaw County) and Grand Blanc Township (Genesee County).

Result: Kristen McDonald Rivet won.

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MI-09 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Ray Pooley

118,333 net votes to find, most of them in Macomb Township (Macomb County) and Chesterfield Township (Macomb County).

Result: Lisa McClain won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-10 · open seat

How Christina Hines wins

4,254 net votes to find, most of them in Rochester Hills and St. Clair Shores.

Result: Christina Hines won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-11 · open seat

What it would take for Ethan Baker

79,890 net votes to find, most of them in Troy and Waterford Township (Oakland County).

Result: Jeremy Moss won.

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MI-12 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for James D. Hooper

125,325 net votes to find, most of them in Dearborn and Livonia.

Result: Rashida Tlaib won.

See the path and the result ›

MI-13 · open seat

What it would take for Taras "T.P." Nykoriak

111,252 net votes to find, most of them in Detroit and Taylor.

Result: Donavan McKinney won.

See the path and the result ›

Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Michigan Bureau of Elections precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Michigan 2026 election guide.