Texas · 39 federal races · election held November 3

Every Texas race. From the other side.

The election is over. 39 of 39 races are called so far, and 3 underdogs won. Each plan below stays up as the record, with the result beside it.

The polls tell you who is ahead. These pages tell the candidate who is behind exactly how many votes they need, where those votes live, and what it takes to reach them before the last ballot is cast.

Texas's 2026 House elections use PLANC2333, the congressional map the Legislature passed in 2025; the U.S. Supreme Court stayed a lower-court block in December 2025 and reversed it on April 27, 2026. Because the lines changed, the precinct math here uses statewide contests (President, U.S. Senate, Railroad Commissioner, Governor, Attorney General) re-aggregated onto the new districts from Texas Legislative Council precinct data.

See every race rankedOdds today → with the plan, and the call program each plan takes.

39

underdog plans, built from precinct returns

2,378

net votes: the closest upset in Texas (TX-28)

3

underdog wins out of 39 races called so far

Pick a race

39 plans. One question each.

Texas U.S. Senate · open seat

How Ken Paxton wins

265,529 net votes to find, most of them in Harris County and Dallas County.

Result: James Talarico won.

See the path and the result ›

TX-01 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Yolanda Prince

119,795 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 19 (Gregg County) and Precinct 3 (Harrison County).

Result: Nathaniel Moran won.

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TX-02 · open seat

What it would take for Shaun Finnie

55,482 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1170 (Harris County) and Precinct 388 (Harris County).

Result: Steve Toth won.

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TX-03 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Evan Hunt

57,216 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 23 (Collin County) and Precinct 52 (Collin County).

Result: Keith Self won.

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TX-04 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Jason Pearce

61,109 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 167 (Collin County) and Precinct 34 (Collin County).

Result: Pat Fallon won.

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TX-05 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Chelsey Hockett

43,166 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 29 (Kaufman County) and Precinct 14 (Kaufman County).

Result: Lance Gooden won.

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TX-06 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Danny Minton

50,211 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1054 (Ellis County) and Precinct 43 (Johnson County).

Result: Jake Ellzey won.

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TX-07 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Alexander Hale

51,235 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 15 (Harris County) and Precinct 70 (Harris County).

Result: Lizzie Fletcher won.

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TX-08 · open seat

What it would take for Laura Jones

56,168 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 311 (Waller County) and Precinct 901 (Harris County).

Result: Jessica Hart Steinmann won.

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TX-09 · open seat

What it would take for Leticia Gutierrez

20,806 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 460 (Harris County) and Precinct 353 (Harris County).

Result: Leticia Gutierrez won.

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TX-10 · open seat

What it would take for Caitlin Rourk

52,107 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 231 (Travis County) and Precinct 230 (Travis County).

Result: Chris Gober won.

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TX-11 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Claire Reynolds

67,733 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 156 (Travis County) and Precinct 150A (Travis County).

Result: August Pfluger won.

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TX-12 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Angela "Heli" Rodriguez Prilliman

48,061 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1120 (Tarrant County) and Precinct 1723 (Tarrant County).

Result: Craig Goldman won.

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TX-13 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Mark Nair

102,644 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 4170 (Denton County) and Precinct 4174 (Denton County).

Result: Ronny Jackson won.

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TX-14 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Thurman "Bill" Bartie

56,491 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2058 (Fort Bend County) and Precinct 53 (Brazoria County).

Result: Randy Weber won.

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TX-15 · open seat

How Monica De La Cruz wins

7,158 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 90 (Hidalgo County) and Precinct 113 (Hidalgo County).

Result: Bobby Pulido won.

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TX-16 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Adam Bauman

34,487 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 203 (El Paso County) and Precinct 8 (El Paso County).

Result: Veronica Escobar won.

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TX-17 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Casey Shepard

48,953 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 117 (Williamson County) and Precinct 301 (Williamson County).

Result: Pete Sessions won.

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TX-18 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Ronald Whitfield

101,469 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2108 (Fort Bend County) and Precinct 281 (Harris County).

Result: Christian Menefee won.

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TX-19 · open seat

What it would take for Kyle Rable

102,579 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 8 (Lubbock County) and Precinct 6 (Lubbock County).

Result: Tom Sell won.

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TX-20 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Edgardo Rafael Baez

56,424 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1111 (Bexar County) and Precinct 2068 (Bexar County).

Result: Joaquin Castro won.

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TX-21 · open seat

What it would take for Kristin Hook

65,730 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 3149 (Bexar County) and Precinct 142 (Hays County).

Result: Mark Teixeira won.

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TX-22 · open seat

What it would take for Marquette Greene-Scott

52,088 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2007 (Fort Bend County) and Precinct 1006 (Fort Bend County).

Result: Trever Nehls won.

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TX-23 · open seat

How Katy Padilla Stout wins

10,194 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2154 (Bexar County) and Precinct 1151 (Bexar County).

Result: Katy Padilla Stout won.

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TX-24 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Kevin Burge

45,794 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2308 (Dallas County) and Precinct 2305 (Dallas County).

Result: Beth Van Duyne won.

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TX-25 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Dione Sims

52,061 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1734 (Tarrant County) and Precinct 1831 (Tarrant County).

Result: Roger Williams won.

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TX-26 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Steven Shook

63,948 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2094 (Denton County) and Precinct 1047 (Denton County).

Result: Brandon Gill won.

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TX-27 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Tanya Lloyd

49,699 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 337 (Travis County) and Precinct 143 (Travis County).

Result: Michael Cloud won.

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TX-28 · vs. incumbent

How Tano E. Tijerina wins

2,378 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 6 (Starr County) and Precinct 130 (Webb County).

Result: Henry Cuellar won.

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TX-29 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Martha Fierro

43,740 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 448 (Harris County) and Precinct 927 (Harris County).

Result: Sylvia Garcia won.

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TX-30 · open seat

What it would take for Everett Jackson

88,196 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 4063 (Dallas County) and Precinct 4522 (Dallas County).

Result: Frederick Haynes III won.

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TX-31 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Justin Early

55,295 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 414 (Bell County) and Precinct 210 (Bell County).

Result: John Carter won.

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TX-32 · open seat

What it would take for Dan Barrios

36,637 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 2125 (Dallas County) and Precinct 55 (Collin County).

Result: Jace Yarbrough won.

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TX-33 · open seat

What it would take for Patrick Gillespie

57,747 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1060 (Dallas County) and Precinct 2605 (Dallas County).

Result: Colin Allred won.

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TX-34 · vs. incumbent

How Eric Flores wins

3,399 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 54 (Cameron County) and Precinct 98 (Cameron County).

Result: Vicente Gonzalez won.

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TX-35 · open seat

How Johnny Garcia wins

16,348 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 1094 (Bexar County) and Precinct 1056 (Bexar County).

Result: Johnny Garcia won.

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TX-36 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Rhonda Hart

53,363 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 50 (Brazoria County) and Precinct 66 (Brazoria County).

Result: Brian Babin won.

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TX-37 · vs. incumbent

What it would take for Lauren Peña

162,220 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 201 (Travis County) and Precinct 232 (Travis County).

Result: Greg Casar won.

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TX-38 · open seat

What it would take for Melissa McDonough

55,417 net votes to find, most of them in Precinct 309 (Harris County) and Precinct 512 (Harris County).

Result: Jon Bonck won.

See the path and the result ›

Independent analysis by The Political Group from official Texas Secretary of State precinct returns, Census data, FEC filings and public polls. Not affiliated with any candidate or party. Also see the Texas 2026 election guide.